How to Use the Global Tool

The Global Early Warning Tool uses a machine learning-based methodology to forecast conflict over the next 12 months. The aim of the Global Tool is to help relevant actors identify conflict hotspots before violence erupts and understand the local context. Once every three months, we release updated 12-month forecasts to meet user demand for early warning information.

Watch our free WPS E-Learning Module to get insights on how to use the Global Tool. Lesson 2 will explain in detail how the tool works and how you can use it yourself. Visit the Methodology page if you want to dive deeper into the tool’s technical infrastructure.